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The Game You Quit

admin by admin
June 26, 2020
in Game
37
The Game You Quit



Vsauce2 Merch:
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Huge thanks to LastPass for sponsoring Vsauce2.

The Game That Gets Smarter:

By choosing to watch this video, you’ve already won… the game of quitting.

In 1958, John H. Fox, Jr. of the Minneapolis-Honeywell Regulator Company and L Gerald Marnie of MIT invented “The Game of Googol,” which revealed a seminal concept in the art of optimal stopping theory. The premise was simple: when given a series of choices, when do we finally decide to commit? When do we stop exploring alternatives and actually choose so that we maximize our payoff? How do we do that without just guessing?

The solution to knowing when to stop involves harnessing the power of Euler’s number, and it shows up in our lives every day. It’s how we decide when to choose a parking spot so we don’t have to drive all the way back around again. It’s how we decide who to commit to for life after having a series of relationships.

And we won’t always win. In fact, most of the time we won’t get it perfectly right. But employing optimal stopping in The Game of Googol is just like employing it in real life. We’ll win as much as possible, and when we miss by a little bit, we’ll still be pretty happy with the result.

*** SOURCES ***

For a great in-depth look at Euler’s Number, check out Numberphile:

Frontal-parietal and limbic-striatal activity underlies information sampling in the best choice problem:

A Solution to the Game of Googol, Alexander V. Gnedin:

*** LINKS ***

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Research And Writing by Matthew Tabor

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Comments 37

  1. Vsauce2 says:
    2 years ago

    Some commenters have made an important point: there are definitely times when you do NOT want to be Eule-y to the max. Sometimes you need to break away from the rigid rules of the game.

    For example, if you have 100 slips in The Game of Googol and one of your sample slips contains a number with 99 zeroes, you’d want to commit to it. You understand that the number is very close to the maximum, and with something like 90 slips left, the odds that you’d draw a number higher than that are extremely low. There just aren’t enough options, so it just wouldn’t make sense to keep turning over slips just because your system tells you to.

    A reliable, math-based system is awesome… but when you know, you know.

    Reply
  2. ospreyzebra12 says:
    2 years ago

    Did the password to sign into the app get saved

    Reply
  3. DiamondBowGamer says:
    2 years ago

    When you pick out 11 people to be your potential wife, only examine the first 4, pick 5 and ignore everyone after 6.

    Reply
  4. LetsTalkAboutMath says:
    2 years ago

    clearly the distribution of the numbers weren't uniform on the google numbers. 95% of the time the maximum value in 10 numbers uniformly draw between 1 google numbers is of the order of 10^99

    Reply
  5. Wicetor says:
    2 years ago

    The most important question here:

    How does a googol fit on such a small piece of paper?

    Reply
  6. Soma Rakonczai says:
    2 years ago

    I am fuming becouse of the last of us 2

    Reply
  7. Sam Tarnovsky says:
    2 years ago

    What?! Are you meaning to tell me there's people here who didn't scroll through every single YouTube video before coming back to this one??

    Reply
  8. Cattybeans121 says:
    2 years ago

    So what happens when the 1st slip is the highest and you have to flip 375,890,826 slips you'll be flipping all of them and pick non?

    Reply
  9. Marcus Massoud says:
    2 years ago

    Hi

    Reply
  10. Lieutenant Colonel - Tedjo says:
    2 years ago

    me:i will not quit

    1 min later i quit!!

    Reply
  11. Mark Lopez says:
    2 years ago

    0:06 “hire the right plumber” Mario
    0:11 “the love of your life” peach (Mario)

    Reply
  12. Nikhita Jadhav says:
    2 years ago

    https://www.youtuhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCTnesjej8gbe.https://www.youtube.chttps://wwhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCTnesjej8gw.youtube.com/watch?v=sCTnesjej8gom/watch?v=sCTnesjej8gcom/watch?v=sCTnesjej8g

    Reply
  13. Gamelife11 says:
    2 years ago

    Anyone else just now realizing how small 100 really is

    Reply
  14. Beateau says:
    2 years ago

    So you're saying that I should find 7.5B/e women, take the "best" sample out of them, and then marry the next woman I come across that's better. Seems simple enough.
    (Actually this might be a good way to write a dating site dealing with millions of profiles…)

    Reply
  15. Steven Jackson says:
    2 years ago

    And first slip on 1, 391! 6:17

    Reply
  16. Steven Jackson says:
    2 years ago

    6:16. 3781 over e =1,390.95. Why 1,391st? Of 0.95?

    Reply
  17. Steven Jackson says:
    2 years ago

    Euler… Fancy!

    Reply
  18. Steven Jackson says:
    2 years ago

    So in 5:03 choose a bigger sample in 10 squares. Including…

    Reply
  19. Ben Armbrust says:
    2 years ago

    My parents should have used the optimal stopping theory😂

    Reply
  20. Korea says:
    2 years ago

    Twist of the sponser:
    You need a password to log in and stuff XP

    Reply
  21. typelogin says:
    2 years ago

    Vsauce2 to girl "statistically you have a 1/3 chance of being the girl I should marry, wanna try?"

    Reply
  22. Lucio Jesus Kauil Chan says:
    2 years ago

    3:14 rip palpels

    Reply
  23. Jeff C says:
    2 years ago

    The Kepler thing is wrong, because there are way more than 11 women.

    Reply
  24. Zyphr7 says:
    2 years ago

    Don't forget there would still only be about a 1/3 chance that Kepler would have found the best match for whom to be with out of the eleven.

    Reply
  25. Shota SDG says:
    2 years ago

    I will apply this strategy for stock market for today!!

    Reply
  26. Sicko Joseph says:
    2 years ago

    Markiplier has entered the chat.

    Reply
  27. Comic Sans says:
    2 years ago

    2:24 who else noticed the battle nations theme

    Reply
  28. hagia safiyya says:
    2 years ago

    Kevin:The game you quit
    Me: Life?

    Reply
  29. FreeDom Sy says:
    2 years ago

    Does it work with life?

    Reply
  30. Curtis Warren BTW STOP BEGGING says:
    2 years ago

    you can't quit if you never played!

    Reply
  31. Zoome John the meme says:
    2 years ago

    “Quitters never win and winners never quit”

    Vsauce2: We don’t do that here

    Reply
  32. Foxzinha says:
    2 years ago

    jokes on you i didn't chose this video it was autoplay

    Reply
  33. DaScarPlays :p says:
    2 years ago

    Also why can’t what if we do everything perfect first and because of e and this video he misses his chance and ruin his life hehe dark hehe

    Reply
  34. DaScarPlays :p says:
    2 years ago

    Sry I still don’t understand as the example but then what if the biggest number is the first one?

    Reply
  35. Wolf Bite!! says:
    2 years ago

    I swear this mans is like part of the freaking bourgeoisie

    Reply
  36. Jackson Renfrew Garrard says:
    2 years ago

    4:34 My friend looking at my redstone contraption

    Reply
  37. Kaelyn Mynhier says:
    2 years ago

    What if I’m bad at math

    Reply

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